icubud (icubud) wrote,

October 14th-20th

I came across some news today that surprised me and yet could be a piece of the puzzle about what could lead to big troubles around the globe.
I also did a search on the internet to locate USA news sources for material about this story and I could not locate anything.
Israel is warning Syria that it will not sit on its hands this time. O is issuing dirty looks (empty suit). Iran wants war and it is determined to get it one way or another. A is embarrassed by the quiet defeat of the nuclear program he was building. Stories are coming out that they are executing those in Iran believed to have been part of or negligent in this matter (which the USA would do the same under the doctrine of treason).
My mind goes back to those few little words in the peoplenomics linguistic data runs "Israel's mistake" - and hope that they do not make one.
Below is a summary of the five news stories and the links if you wish to read the full story as it has been unfolding apparently without any USA news interest.

The presidents of Iran and Syria agreed in Tehran Saturday, Oct. 2, to support a Hizballah military takeover of Lebanon's power centers, including the capital Beirut, right after Mahmoud Ahmadinejad ends his controversial two-day visit to the country on October 13-14.


Ahmadinejad and Assad also decided to continue to harass Lebanese Prime Minister Saad Hariri by de-legitimization of his government, intimidation and humiliation to force him to dissolve the Special Tribunal for Lebanon-STL which has brought charges against Hizballlah officials for the murder of former Lebanese Prime Minister Rafiq Hariri in 2005.


debkafile reports that this defiance of an internationally recognized UN court is unprecedented and tantamount to a declaration of war on Lebanon.


As part of this Iranian-Syrian-Hizballah master plan, President Assad Sunday, Oct. 3 released a list - referred to the former Lebanese head of internal security Maj. Gen. Jamil Sayyed - of 33 international and Lebanese individuals against whom the Syrian prosecutor general had issued arrest warrants on charges of false testimony and perjury in the UN probe of the Hariri murder. Lebanese police chief Maj. Gen. Ashraf Rifi said the next day that Interpol would not execute the 33 warrants, because they were politically motivated.


This document was published in Damascus to scare Persian Gulf and Saudi rulers from coming to the aid of the Lebanese prime minister or interfering with its plans for bringing Hizballah to power in Beirut.


To ward off the threat Hariri travelled to Riyadh and asked Saudi rulers for help - firstly, to block off the Iranian-Syrian conspiracy against his government and secondly, for money to buy arms for Lebanese Sunni and Christian militias to defend their fiefdoms against takeover by the Hizballah.


2 days later…10/6

Israel's Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu and Defense Minister Ehud Barak decided to release the minutes of the deliberations on an air blitz against Damascus - held in Jerusalem before and during the Yom Kippur War 37 years ago - as a strong warning to Syrian President Bashar Assad, debkafile's military and intelligence sources reveal. Then, a decision to take out Damascus to halt the Syrian offensive was overruled. This time could be different: Bashar Assad regime's own centers of power could be at risk if Syria and Hizballah go through with their plan to overpower Beirut and topple Saad Hariri's sovereign government.

That is the message relayed by the October 1973 war papers released this week, which go beyond uncovering secret operational and intelligence decision-making and are  unusually wide-ranging.

In the hours leading up to the fateful moment on Oct. 6 1973, when the combined forces of Egypt and Syria caught Israel napping by a joint offensive (designed by their Russian sponsor), Israel's chief of staff, the late Lt. Gen. David Elazar, said to Prime Minister Golda Meir: In operational terms, we can wipe out the entire Syrian air force by 12:00 noon today. We need another 30 hours to destroy its missiles. Then, if they go on the offensive at 5 pm., our air force will be free to strike the Syrian army. To me, this is operational option is attractive.

Three days later, on Oct. 9, catastrophe stared Israel in the face: The IDF was in a bad way and taking casualties in the realm of hundreds dead and thousands injured; their defense lines in Sinai and the Golan had fallen and there was nothing in the way of the Syrian army going all the way to the Sea of Galilee and Tiberias.
In a closed meeting with Golda Meir, the iconic defense minister Moshe Dayan asked for permission to bomb Damascus. "Inside the city?" she asked. "Inside the city and its environs," he replied. "We have to break the Syrians," Dayan explained that he proposed to strike the Syrian General Command and infrastructure in Damascus. "We've done enough going around the fields (a reference to targets outside the Syrian capital). There are no more key targets left. Damascus is the only one. We can't promise the population won't be hurt."

Golda's permission was withheld.
debkafile's sources report that the decision to release these documents and the section relating to Syria was taken in Jerusalem after the Obama administration failed to prevent the two-day state visit to Lebanon by Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad taking place on Oct. 13.



Already, hectic preparations for the Oct.13-14 visit have advanced to the point that Beirut and South Lebanon up to the Israeli border have been taken over. It is now a virtual Ahmadinejad-land controlled by an estimated 2,500 members of the Revolutionary Guards special security unit who were imported for the occasion.
They were carried from Tehran by special airlift to Damascus whence a convoy of buses drove them to Beirut and then dispersed them across the Lebanese capital and the South.



debkafile exclusive from Washington and Beirut: Early Friday, Oct. 8, senior US diplomat Frederic Hof landed in Damascus with a strong ultimatum from US President Barack Obama warning Syrian President Bashar Assad that he would be held personally responsible for military action Hizballah may pursue in Beirut or any other part of Lebanon; there would be consequences for the Syrian ruler's standing in Washington and that of his country.

After delivering the message, Obama's emissary was told to remain in Damascus and keep close tabs on the situation over the coming days.


Links to articles ----- Iran interests = Beirut government coupe



Tags: 2 cents, ces, current events, government, iran
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